Who Is Best at Predicting the Future?

I've come across an interesting study about a correlation between cognitive styles and accuracy in predicting the future. The study is from Philip Tetlock, Professor of Leadership at UC Berkeley who built on Isaiah Berlin's theory about foxes and hedgehogs. Put simply, foxes are lateral thinkers,  hedgehogs are linear thinkers, and it is foxes who are better … Continue reading Who Is Best at Predicting the Future?

Advertisements

You Put Your Tech in My Social Science

The other day a friend of mine, a technology entrepreneur, said to me at lunch, ‘I’ve been reading your posts about social science and technology. Something that stands out to me is that these social scientists define problems really well but don’t offer solutions.’ I giggled. He's right. In fact, I have a new friend … Continue reading You Put Your Tech in My Social Science